VfB Lübeck II vs Nordmark Satrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
33.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
12º
16º
12º
41
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TRT
2 - 3
LUB
52%
19%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 4
UNI
16%
17%
67%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 2
HOH
67%
17%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
7 - 0
LUB
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 6
OLD
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
HEI
23%
19%
58%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 0
NOR
44%
21%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
SVE
61%
18%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 2
NOR
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 3
ECK
34%
22%
44%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |