VfB Lübeck II vs Todesfelde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
74.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
16º
8º
73
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
4 - 0
PAN
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 0
LUB
65%
17%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LUB
4 - 5
ALT
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
LUB
8 - 1
KRO
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
WEF
1 - 1
LUB
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Todesfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TOD
8 - 0
HUS
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
EIC
1 - 0
TOD
37%
22%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TOD
3 - 1
DOR
82%
12%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 1
TOD
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
TOD
2 - 2
BSV
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |