Luarca CF vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAL
1 - 1
LUA
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LUA
1 - 2
CLA
34%
25%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 0
LUA
63%
22%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUA
0 - 2
ROC
24%
28%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RIB
4 - 2
LUA
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 2
UCO
32%
23%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 1
ROC
45%
26%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 3
UCO
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
64%
21%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ESM
1 - 2
UCO
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |