Luarca CF vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
COL
3 - 1
LUA
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LUA
1 - 1
SIE
26%
26%
48%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LUA
0 - 3
CEA
15%
24%
61%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
URR
1 - 2
LUA
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LUA
1 - 6
ROB
24%
26%
50%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 4
NAV
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
L20
1 - 0
UCO
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MUR
4 - 0
UCO
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 0
TIN
23%
23%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PUM
3 - 0
UCO
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |