Luarca CF vs UC Ceares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
NAV
2 - 1
LUA
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
AND
0 - 1
LUA
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LUA
5 - 1
CUD
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
LEA
2 - 0
LUA
34%
26%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LUA
2 - 2
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 1
AND
62%
22%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CUD
2 - 1
CEA
56%
24%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 2
LEA
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
2 - 0
CEA
52%
22%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 0
PRA
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |