Luarca CF vs UD Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+378%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
POD
4 - 1
LUA
33%
22%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LUA
5 - 0
HIS
39%
24%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NAR
0 - 0
LUA
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LUA
2 - 1
SAL
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LUA
1 - 3
TAP
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
TAP
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GOZ
2 - 0
CAS
65%
20%
16%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 2
BOS
34%
23%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
TRE
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |