Luarca CF vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
LUA
1 - 0
CAN
46%
26%
29%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
CEA
0 - 1
LUA
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
LUA
1 - 1
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
PEL
6 - 1
LUA
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
LUA
2 - 2
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
CDL
1 - 4
AVI
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
AVI
3 - 0
ROB
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SIE
0 - 3
AVI
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
AVI
0 - 1
PRA
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
CAU
2 - 1
AVI
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |