Luarca CF vs Nalón CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 1
LUA
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUA
0 - 2
NAV
27%
27%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAD
3 - 1
LUA
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 2
LUA
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LUA
1 - 2
ESM
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nalón CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAL
1 - 0
ESM
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 0
NAL
19%
24%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAL
4 - 2
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
NAL
29%
25%
45%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NAL
0 - 0
UCO
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |