Luarca CF vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RIB
2 - 0
LUA
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LUA
0 - 0
CAU
23%
25%
51%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 1
LUA
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LUA
0 - 0
CON
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
GIN
2 - 1
LUA
54%
23%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
COV
0 - 0
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NAV
2 - 2
COV
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
COV
0 - 0
CAN
26%
24%
50%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
COV
0 - 1
LEA
27%
25%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 0
COV
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |