Luarca CF vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1961 |
LUA
0 - 0
SMA
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
TUR
4 - 1
LUA
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LUA
10 - 0
LEN
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
LLA
2 - 1
LUA
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LUA
3 - 0
RAR
60%
20%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1961 |
RTI
1 - 1
CDF
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
CDF
2 - 2
CAU
35%
25%
41%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
AVI
5 - 1
CDF
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CDF
1 - 1
SIE
72%
16%
13%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
PEL
1 - 0
CDF
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |