Luarca CF vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
COV
5 - 0
LUA
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LUA
0 - 2
UPL
27%
28%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TAP
3 - 0
LUA
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LUA
2 - 1
NAV
69%
20%
11%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LEA
1 - 2
LUA
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
LEN
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PRA
1 - 2
ATL
48%
27%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 3
CAU
18%
24%
58%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAR
17%
24%
59%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
LEA
0 - 0
ATL
56%
25%
19%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |