Luarca CF vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ESM
1 - 0
LUA
70%
19%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUA
3 - 1
GIN
10%
21%
70%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +3 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AND
4 - 0
LUA
66%
20%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LUA
1 - 1
TUR
35%
26%
40%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RIB
5 - 3
LUA
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AST
2 - 2
GIN
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TUR
0 - 1
AST
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AST
2 - 3
MAD
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 1
AST
63%
21%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AST
1 - 1
UCO
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |