Lučko vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
LUK
3 - 3
VRA
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NEH
1 - 1
LUK
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
LUK
5 - 0
NKG
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
LUK
3 - 5
INT
22%
22%
57%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HAS
3 - 2
LUK
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
JAP
1 - 0
NEH
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NKG
0 - 2
JAP
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
JAP
3 - 2
HAS
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
VRB
2 - 0
JAP
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
JAP
2 - 0
NOV
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |