Loyers vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loyers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ROC
3 - 1
LOY
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LOY
4 - 0
NIS
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPY
0 - 0
LOY
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LOY
0 - 0
GRA
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
LOY
28%
23%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 2
JEU
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LIG
3 - 2
ROC
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NIS
0 - 4
LIG
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIG
3 - 1
SPY
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LIG
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |