Lower Hutt City vs Victoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lower Hutt City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
LHC
1 - 2
PNM
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
WEL
4 - 2
LHC
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CEN
6 - 1
LHC
87%
10%
3%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 4
LHC
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 3
LHC
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Victoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
VUN
3 - 1
WUF
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
NWA
6 - 3
VUN
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |