Lower Hutt City vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lower Hutt City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 5
LHC
48%
20%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MIR
4 - 1
LHC
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
WEL
3 - 1
LHC
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
LHC
12 - 1
WAF
92%
6%
2%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
LHC
2 - 1
WEL
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WAI
0 - 5
MIR
8%
14%
78%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MIR
4 - 1
LHC
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
WAF
1 - 7
MIR
3%
10%
86%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MIR
5 - 2
NWA
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MIR
4 - 1
NWA
82%
12%
7%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | -1 |