UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-5
Litex Lovech vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
LOV
3 - 0
MOG
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
LOV
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 0
KAL
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 3
LOV
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
LOV
4 - 1
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
WIS
2 - 0
FCS
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 1
WIS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
FLO
2 - 2
WIS
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
RAP
2 - 0
WIS
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
WIS
0 - 2
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |