Montenegro League - Play Offs Final
Global 0-4
Lovcen vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
LOV
3 - 4
IKD
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
IBA
0 - 1
LOV
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
LOV
1 - 5
MLJ
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KOM
0 - 0
LOV
26%
25%
50%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LOV
2 - 0
RUD
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
FKA
0 - 0
JEZ
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
OUL
4 - 1
FKA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 1
MOR
42%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BOK
1 - 1
FKA
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
PET
2 - 0
FKA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |