Lovcen vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
JED
0 - 1
LOV
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LOV
2 - 0
KOM
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GRB
0 - 0
LOV
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LOV
0 - 2
RUD
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SUT
1 - 0
LOV
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BUD
3 - 1
DEC
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
DEC
1 - 2
JED
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
KOM
1 - 1
DEC
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
DEC
0 - 2
GRB
24%
28%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
RUD
1 - 0
DEC
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |