Lovcen vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
43.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
RUD
2 - 0
LOV
70%
19%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
KOM
0 - 4
LOV
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LOV
2 - 0
MLA
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PET
1 - 1
LOV
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BOK
1 - 1
LOV
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
DEC
0 - 0
MLA
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
PET
1 - 1
DEC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
DEC
3 - 1
BOK
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
MOG
2 - 0
DEC
51%
27%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ZET
2 - 1
DEC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |