Montenegro Cup Last 16
Global 0-2
Lovcen vs Celik Niksic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 2
BUD
27%
28%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GRB
0 - 0
LOV
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
FKD
1 - 3
LOV
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 2
MLA
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
PET
3 - 2
LOV
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Celik Niksic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
1 - 0
FKC
53%
26%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FKC
3 - 0
PET
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FKC
1 - 0
MOR
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
BSP
0 - 2
FKC
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
KOM
0 - 0
FKC
50%
27%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |