Lovcen vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 0
LOV
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
GRB
4 - 0
LOV
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LOV
1 - 0
MOR
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
RUD
0 - 1
LOV
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LOV
2 - 1
BER
46%
29%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 0
LOV
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BUD
2 - 1
SUT
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GRB
0 - 4
BUD
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
BUD
3 - 2
PET
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 3
BUD
19%
28%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |