Lousada vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lousada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 0
LOU
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 0
RIB
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 2
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
4 - 4
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TIR
2 - 1
CAM
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 1
OSL
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
TIR
26%
29%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TIR
3 - 0
FAM
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
TIR
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |