Lousada vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lousada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
LOU
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
RIB
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 0
MER
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
LOU
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FAF
1 - 1
CAM
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 0
FAF
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FAM
0 - 2
FAF
54%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FAF
5 - 0
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |