Lourinhanense vs Atletico Tojal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
LOU
48%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
CAC
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
POV
1 - 1
LOU
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 0
PER
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 0
LOU
84%
12%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Tojal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
REA
3 - 2
TOJ
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOJ
1 - 0
LOU
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAC
2 - 0
TOJ
16%
20%
65%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOJ
3 - 2
POV
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PER
0 - 2
TOJ
46%
23%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |