Lourenzá vs Sporting Pontenova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 9
LOU
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
5 - 2
MEI
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 3
LOU
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 0
FOZ
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
XER
0 - 2
LOU
39%
23%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Pontenova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
GUI
32%
24%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
PON
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PON
1 - 1
COS
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 1
PON
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PON
0 - 0
POL
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |