Lourel SP vs Coutada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourel SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 2
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 2
TOJ
50%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 2
REA
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAC
3 - 2
LOU
13%
19%
69%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 1
POV
69%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coutada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
COU
1 - 1
CAC
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POV
1 - 0
COU
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
COU
5 - 1
PER
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +7 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 0
COU
84%
12%
4%
|
11 | 60 | 49 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COU
0 - 1
OEI
12%
20%
68%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |