Lourel SP vs Cacém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourel SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POV
3 - 2
LOU
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 0
PER
61%
20%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALV
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | +4 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OEI
2 - 3
LOU
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cacém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
REA
2 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
4%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAC
1 - 4
POV
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAC
1 - 0
PER
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 0
CAC
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAC
0 - 0
OEI
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +1 |