Lourel SP vs Beneditense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourel SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 4
LOU
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
OEI
52%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 4
LOU
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOU
5 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CLU
1 - 1
LOU
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 3
PEN
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CCA
0 - 2
BEN
33%
25%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
ADP
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MDB
4 - 0
BEN
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BEN
5 - 1
CUL
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |