Lourdes vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CDA
1 - 2
LOU
55%
22%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 0
LOU
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 1
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
4 - 0
LOU
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 0
CDB
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
UDM
1 - 1
BET
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
FON
0 - 1
UDM
7%
14%
80%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
UDM
2 - 0
HUA
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BUR
3 - 2
UDM
14%
20%
66%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |