Lourdes vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 2
LOU
43%
26%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LOU
2 - 1
AOI
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TUD
1 - 0
LOU
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LOU
0 - 2
IZA
32%
23%
44%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
UDM
3 - 0
SES
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IDO
0 - 3
UDM
41%
26%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
UDM
0 - 1
PAM
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LAG
2 - 0
UDM
26%
25%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
UDM
26%
25%
50%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |