Lourdes vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
TUD
1 - 0
LOU
61%
22%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LOU
2 - 1
ALU
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
AOI
2 - 1
LOU
44%
27%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BUR
1 - 4
LOU
34%
27%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
LOU
2 - 0
ATL
35%
25%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
OBE
0 - 2
UDM
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 1
CDA
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 3
SJU
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
UDM
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |