Lourdes vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
47%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
MUR
2 - 0
LOU
52%
25%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LOU
2 - 0
LAG
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
LOU
2 - 2
RIV
27%
25%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
TUD
2 - 0
LOU
70%
20%
11%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 2
LOU
63%
22%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
UDM
3 - 2
IZA
54%
26%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
OBE
0 - 1
UDM
41%
28%
31%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
UDM
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
UDM
4 - 1
AVA
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AZK
0 - 1
UDM
55%
25%
20%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |