Lourdes vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ZAR
0 - 1
LOU
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
3 - 2
ALU
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 0
LOU
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
CDL
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MUR
4 - 0
LOU
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALU
0 - 0
CDC
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDL
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 3
CDC
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDA
28%
24%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 2
CDC
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |