Lourdes vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
COR
2 - 1
LOU
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
LOU
3 - 3
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SJU
0 - 1
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LOU
6 - 3
MUR
59%
23%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ALU
0 - 1
LOU
36%
26%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AOI
0 - 1
PEÑ
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 0
AOI
39%
28%
33%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
AOI
1 - 2
UDM
32%
27%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ZAR
0 - 2
AOI
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AOI
1 - 1
OBE
38%
26%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |