Lourdes vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
UDM
4 - 0
LOU
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LOU
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
LOU
34%
27%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LOU
4 - 0
HUA
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CDA
1 - 1
LOU
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
AOI
2 - 2
MEN
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RIV
0 - 0
AOI
61%
23%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
AOI
1 - 0
PEN
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 2
AOI
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VAL
5 - 3
AOI
65%
21%
14%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |