Lourdes vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CAV
1 - 2
LOU
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LOU
4 - 2
PEÑ
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +4 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
RIV
3 - 0
LOU
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LOU
0 - 1
UDM
42%
25%
34%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ZAR
1 - 1
LOU
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
ALU
0 - 3
PEÑ
15%
22%
64%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 2
ALU
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ALU
2 - 1
UDM
24%
26%
50%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALU
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ALU
1 - 0
OBE
33%
26%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |