Lourdes A vs UCF Santa Perpètua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
LOU
29%
21%
51%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
4 - 1
PAL
81%
11%
8%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 5
VVA
46%
21%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 2
LOU
19%
18%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 2
CMB
63%
18%
20%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UCF Santa Perpètua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
USP
2 - 0
TOR
62%
20%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CMB
4 - 3
USP
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
USP
2 - 2
AAS
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 7
USP
23%
19%
58%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
USP
3 - 2
VAL
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |