Lourdes A vs Parets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
75.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SEU
3 - 2
LOU
65%
17%
19%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 3
USC
68%
16%
16%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
5 - 0
LOU
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
6 - 0
PSP
73%
14%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AAS
1 - 5
LOU
42%
21%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
6 - 0
CAN
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
7 - 0
SEU
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
USC
1 - 4
PAR
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAR
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PSP
1 - 6
PAR
7%
12%
81%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |