Lourdes A vs Can Mas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourdes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CER
0 - 5
LOU
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
4 - 0
SAB
66%
17%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LCA
2 - 5
LOU
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 1
POL
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SMM
0 - 3
LOU
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Can Mas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CMR
4 - 0
CAN
40%
23%
37%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 0
CMR
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CMR
2 - 1
LCE
47%
22%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 1
CMR
39%
22%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CMR
2 - 3
SFO
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |