Louletano vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 1
LOU
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 3
LOU
34%
24%
43%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 0
LOU
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
COV
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
COV
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOU
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PIN
1 - 1
MOU
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MOU
0 - 0
FCB
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |