Louletano vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 2
LOU
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PRA
2 - 0
LOU
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
3 - 3
OPE
39%
26%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
OLH
1 - 0
LOU
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 1
FCC
65%
20%
14%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ALM
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 0
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
0 - 0
MON
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
ARM
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 1
MON
57%
20%
24%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |