Louletano vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 4
LOU
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 0
MOU
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VIA
1 - 1
LOU
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 0
LOU
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
PIN
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 3
FAR
22%
26%
53%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
LUS
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 5
LUS
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 0
ARM
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 0
FAB
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |