Louletano vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
SCF
18%
26%
57%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 3
LOU
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 5
LOU
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
LUS
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 2
COV
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
LUS
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |