Louletano vs GD Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
5º
30
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
LOU
18%
24%
59%
|
51 | 15 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 1
SIN
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LOU
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 1
FCB
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 0
EDL
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
GD Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 2
FAM
5%
14%
81%
|
27 | 82 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
0 - 0
OPE
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 2
CIN
53%
21%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
LAG
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
COI
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | +2 |