Louletano vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 5
LOU
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COV
1 - 0
LOU
55%
24%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MAF
1 - 0
LOU
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LOU
0 - 1
BEN
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 0
COV
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +4 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
FCC
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 3
CAM
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VCO
2 - 4
FCC
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |