Louletano vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 2
LOU
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 1
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 1
EDL
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 2
LOU
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
IMO
1 - 1
LOU
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ESA
4 - 0
ACV
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
LEX
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 3
ESA
9%
15%
76%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
VAR
3 - 1
ESA
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 2
ESA
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |