Loughgall vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
LOU
2 - 4
LIM
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 0
LOU
77%
15%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LOU
1 - 3
ARD
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
LIS
3 - 1
LOU
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
LOU
0 - 2
POR
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 4
HAL
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
2 - 0
LOU
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
LIM
1 - 6
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
HAL
1 - 1
LIN
59%
21%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
VEN
2 - 1
LIN
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |