Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LOU
1 - 4
CLI
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LOU
2 - 2
CAR
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
POR
3 - 1
LOU
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GLE
0 - 1
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
BAL
5 - 2
LOU
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NEW
0 - 3
INS
23%
25%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
INS
4 - 3
ARC
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
INS
3 - 3
NEY
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |