Loughgall vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 2
LOU
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 1
DER
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
3 - 1
LOU
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 0
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
DOL
1 - 1
LOU
23%
21%
56%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
INS
0 - 2
AUN
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 1
INS
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
INS
1 - 3
BAL
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DER
5 - 0
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
INS
0 - 3
CLI
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |